EMU Q4 GDP: Shades of Gray/Italy’s Chances

February 20, 2012

[European Monetary Union countries'] GDP dropped by 0.3% QoQ (Q3 +0.1%), confirming our view that we are in a mild recession. The Franco/German axis held up relatively well although slightly out of balance (France +0.2%, Germany -0.2%). But the risks that the wheels are coming off and derailing current rescue efforts have risen. This [...]

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